Bitcoin Options Open Interest Outpaces Futures by $40B, Signaling Market Maturation

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Options open interest hits $108 billion, signaling a shift toward more sophisticated and regulated market structures.

Updated Oct 22, 2025, 2:19 p.m. Published Oct 22, 2025, 1:59 p.m.

The options open interest (OOI) market is now about $40 billion larger than futures open interest (FOI), marking one of the widest gaps between the two, according to CheckonChain data.

OOI represents the total number of outstanding options contracts that have not yet been settled, while FOI reflects the total value of open futures positions across exchanges.

The options market supports a variety of functions, including hedging, delta-neutral strategies, volatility trading and structured product creation. In contrast, a large futures market typically signals higher levels of leverage in the system, which can intensify liquidations during periods of market stress such as the major crypto sell-off two weeks ago.

To support this point, bitcoin’s price had only corrected about 18% from its all-time high to the recent low of $103,000, a typical bull market pullback for this cycle. In previous cycles, similar conditions likely would have resulted in a much deeper sell-off.

CheckonChain data shows OOI currently stands near $108 billion, just below its all-time high of $112 billion, while FOI is at $68 billion, down significantly from its peak of $91 billion. The steady rise in OOI throughout 2025 has widened the gap between the two, driven largely by the leverage wipeout during the recent liquidation event that erased more than $20 billion in FOI.

A growing options market, particularly one concentrated on regulated platforms, tends to encourage more sophisticated hedging activity and reduce overall market volatility, signaling continued maturation in bitcoin’s financial cycle.

A key factor contributing to reduced volatility was the launch of options trading on BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) in November 2024. IBIT has quickly become the largest bitcoin options platform, overtaking Deribit.

As OOI becomes a more dominant market instrument than FOI, this structural shift could shape the current cycle through volatility compression.

A larger options market may help cushion downside risks during bear phases, though it could also lead to less pronounced price surges during bullish periods.

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His third quarter $135,000 target for BTC on hold for now, analyst Geoffrey Kendrick sees a temporary fall below six figures as a setup for the next leg higher.

What to know:

  • Expecting an imminent pump to $135,000 three weeks ago, Standard Chartered’s Geoff Kendrick — shaken by the Oct. 10 crash and lame bounce since — sees an "inevitable" bitcoin dip to below $100,000.
  • Key indicators include gold-to-bitcoin flows and tightening liquidity measures.
  • The decline could mark the last time to ever buy BTC for less than six figures, said Kendrick.
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