DOGE Slides 7.5% to $0.18, Triggering Technical Breakdown

5 hours ago 1

Despite expectations for Q4 rallies, Dogecoin's market structure remains fragile, with traders watching if it can defend the $0.18 base.

Oct 30, 2025, 7:06 p.m.

(CoinDesk Data)

(CoinDesk Data)

What to know:

  • Dogecoin fell 6.8% on Tuesday, breaking below the $0.18 support level amid heavy whale outflows and increased trading activity.
  • On-chain data showed over $29 million in large transactions, including a significant transfer to Binance, contributing to the price decline.
  • Despite expectations for Q4 rallies, Dogecoin's market structure remains fragile, with traders watching if it can defend the $0.18 base.

Dogecoin extended losses through Tuesday’s session, plunging 6.8% to break below key $0.18 support as heavy whale outflows and elevated trading activity confirmed institutional distribution across meme coin markets.

News Background

  • DOGE fell sharply from $0.1934 to $0.1803 over the 24-hour session, breaking through multiple support levels within an 8.9% intraday range. The move came amid a 44% jump in trading activity above the seven-day average, marking one of the largest single-day volume expansions this month.
  • On-chain data revealed over $29 million in large transactions during the breakdown phase, including a $26.8 million transfer to Binance from a dormant whale address, coinciding with the session’s heaviest volume spike.
  • DOGE’s 3.25% underperformance versus the broader crypto market underscored sector rotation and profit-taking behavior among institutional participants despite risk-on sentiment across major assets.

Price Action Summary

  • Price action carved a sequence of lower highs from the $0.1972 peak, confirming exhaustion of prior bullish momentum. Support emerged around the $0.1780–$0.1800 band, where buyers briefly stabilized price after the breakdown.
  • Whale activity dominated order flow throughout the session, with inflows to exchanges accelerating during each rejection attempt.
  • The timing of these transfers matched precisely with intraday volume surges, validating their influence on DOGE’s downward trajectory.

Technical Analysis

  • DOGE’s structure shows a clear shift toward a distribution phase, with momentum oscillators turning bearish and price failing to recover above broken support levels.
  • The breakdown below $0.18 completed a short-term ascending wedge failure, confirming downside continuation. Volume analysis shows institutional-scale distribution, with the 1.17B turnover representing a 44% surge above weekly averages.
  • Technical resistance has reformed at $0.1950–$0.1970, while immediate support now lies near $0.1780–$0.1800.
  • The total intraday range of 8.9% highlights volatility consistent with unwinding of leveraged positions.
  • Momentum divergence persists on lower timeframes, suggesting further downside toward the $0.166 zone if current levels fail to hold.

What Traders Are Watching

  • Traders are focused on whether DOGE can defend the $0.18 base after multiple whale-led selloffs. Relief rallies toward $0.181–$0.182 are expected to meet selling pressure, with liquidity likely concentrated below prior resistance.
  • Derivatives data shows futures open interest down 61% from October highs, indicating the exit of leveraged participants but not yet confirming reaccumulation.
  • Despite seasonal optimism for Q4 meme coin rallies, DOGE’s market structure remains fragile, and near-term sentiment skews defensive until a confirmed reclaim above $0.19 restores technical stability.

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(CoinDesk Data)

The breakdown was accompanied by outsized volume, with a peak around 392.6 million tokens — nearly 400% of its daily average.

What to know:

  • XRP plunged nearly 8% as institutional selling intensified, breaching the critical $2.46 support level.
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  • Traders should monitor resistance near $2.46–$2.50 and downside targets of $2.30–$2.40 if current support breaks.
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