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4 months ago
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AGI training requirements (FLOP with 2022 algorithms)
Effective FLOP gap (training)
Training goods vs R&D
AGI runtime requirements
Maximum trade-off
Labour substitution R&D
Returns to hardware
Returns to software
R&D parallelization penalty
Growth rate fraction GWP compute
Growth rate fraction compute training
Wake-up growth rate fraction of GWP buying compute
Wake-up growth rate fraction compute training AI models
Max fraction compute training
Initial biggest training run
Wakeup trigger
Effective FLOP gap (runtime)
Runtime goods vs R&D
Trade-off efficiency
Labour substitution goods
Substitution between capital and cognitive tasks for goods and services
Substitution between capital and cognitive tasks for hardware R&D
Research experiments substitution software
Efficiency of experiments for software R&D
Maximum hardware performance
Maximum software performance
Hardware adoption delay
Growth rate fraction capital hardware R&D
Growth rate fraction labour hardware R&D
Growth rate fraction compute hardware R&D
Growth rate fraction labour software R&D
Growth rate fraction compute software R&D
Wake-up growth rate fraction capital hardware R&D
Wake-up growth rate fraction labour hardware R&D
Wake-up growth rate fraction compute hardware R&D
Wake-up growth rate fraction labour software R&D
Wake-up growth rate fraction of compute software R&D
Max fraction capital hardware R&D
Max fraction of labour dedicated to hardware R&D
Max fraction of compute dedicated to hardware R&D
Max fraction labour software R&D
Max fraction compute software R&D
Max fraction GWP compute
Initial fraction capital hardware R&D
Initial fraction labour hardware R&D
Initial fraction compute hardware R&D
Initial fraction labour software R&D
Initial fraction compute software R&D
Initial vs cumulative input - hardware R&D
Initial vs cumulative input - software R&D
Initial hardware production
Accumulated hardware vs initial hardware production
Initial market hardware performance
Initial GWP
Initial world labour force.
Initial cognitive share goods
Initial cognitive share in hardware R&D
Initial compute share goods
Initial compute share R&D
Initial experiment share software R&D
Initial capital growth rate
Population growth rate
TFP growth rate
Compute depreciation rate
Money threshold training
Training requirements steepness (OOM)
Runtime requirements steepness (OOM)
