Gold Surpasses US Treasuries for First Time in 30 Years

3 days ago 2
  • For the first time in 30 years, foreign central banks now hold more gold than U.S. Treasuries — signaling a seismic shift in global trust.
  • Record gold buying streak continues into 2025, with central banks on pace for 900 tonnes — their fourth straight year doubling long-term averages.
  • Analysts say collapsing faith in U.S. debt and liquidity drives gold’s rise, while Bitcoin emerges as the “digital gold” waiting for its rotation moment.

For the first time since the mid-1990s, foreign central banks have held more gold than US treasuries. This milestone shows a significant shift in how global power views safety, liquidity, and trust.

Beyond a market event, the quiet rotation from paper to metal marks a potential turning point in the architecture of global finance.

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Gold Overtakes US Treasuries for the First Time in 30 Years

Data shared by Barchart confirmed the crossover, with central banks continuing their record-breaking gold buying streak into 2025.

According to the World Gold Council, central banks purchased a net 19 tonnes in August alone, after adding 10 tonnes in July. With this, they set the year on track for roughly 900 tonnes in total. It would mark the fourth consecutive year that global purchases exceed twice the long-term average.

The Kobeissi Letter noted that central banks have bought gold for 16 years. This is the longest streak on record and comes after these financial institutions were net sellers for over two decades before 2010.

Central banks are buying unprecedented amounts of gold:

Global central banks have bought an annualized +830 tonnes of gold in 2025.

In the first half of 2025 alone, 23 countries increased their gold reserves.

Central banks are now on track to buy twice as much as the annual… pic.twitter.com/CPtK95R36X

— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) October 25, 2025

In the first half of 2025, 23 countries expanded their reserves. “Central banks cannot stop buying gold,” Kobeissi wrote.

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The reason runs deeper than inflation, with macro researcher Sunil Reddy highlighting that gold’s latest rise tracks the collapse of the Federal Reserve’s reverse-repo balances. This is the pool where excess liquidity is used to park safely overnight.

“When those balances nearly vanished, gold went vertical…Capital seeks what can’t default — hard money. Gold is no longer just an inflation hedge; it’s becoming pristine collateral — the asset of last trust,” he said.

When Trust Falters, Hard Assets Rise — and Digital Gold Awaits Its Turn

That trust gap is widening, with reports indicating that the US government now spends nearly 23 cents of every dollar of revenue on interest. At the same time, foreign confidence in Treasuries wanes amid political gridlock and debt escalation.

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Against this backdrop, analysts say gold has not changed. Rather, it is the measuring stick that is collapsing. Since the 1970s, major currencies like the British pound and Swiss franc have lost between 70% and 90% of their value when measured against gold.

Still, even gold’s dominance faces new challengers. Crypto investor Lark Davis noted that while gold fell 5% last week, its steepest one-day drop since 2013, Bitcoin rose 3%.

“If BTC absorbs even a fraction of gold’s market cap, it could mark the beginning of an insane rally…1% equals $134,000, 3% equals $188,000,” he said.

His view echoes Mister Crypto’s post that “digital gold is next,” hinting at a rotation brewing beneath the surface.

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However, if gold’s pullback looked dramatic, insiders say it was mostly mechanical. A large ETF (exchange-traded fund) block trade that tripped algorithmic volatility triggers.

“Nobody important sold,” an analyst said. Chinese gold ETFs even added exposure during the selloff.

All these taken together, the world’s monetary guardians, comprising institutions that issue fiat currency, are moving decisively into hard assets.

“If the people who control the money printer are stacking gold, what should the rest of us be stacking?” Crypto Jargon remarked.

This state of global finance, where central banks go from dumping gold for decades to now buying record amounts yearly, may define the decade ahead for markets and for money itself.

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